Boston Metro real estate trends: Late 2011/Early 2012
Tuesday, February 7th, 2012guest blog by: Lillian Swift
A promising fourth quarter of 2011 was a great surprise for the Boston real estate market. Demand is strong in the greater Boston area, thanks in large part to the city’s relatively low unemployment rate of 5.7 percent. There are a number of forecasters in the housing market, who despite total year numbers that weren’t as promising as short term results, believe the Boston real estate market is primed for a stronger year than it has seen in quite a while.
Boston is one of five cities that real estate giant Trulia expects to be hotspots in 2012. The others include New York and Houston, just to name a few. Modest price increases are expected during the year as well as an uptick in new construction. Boston universities and research centers are expected to be a major driver of the rebound in both prices and demand. Educational and employment opportunities are both drawing people to the Boston area. Foreclosures are also expected to decrease a little in 2012 as banks finally get through the backlog of delinquencies.
From November 2010 to November 2011, the vacancy rate for apartments in Boston fell from nearly five percent to 2.7 percent. The increased demand will lead inexorably to higher rents and rents are expected to rise by 10 to 15 percent this year. These increases will be especially noticeable in popular neighborhoods, such as Somerville, Beacon Hill and the Fenway. The higher demand for rental units could drive some in the market towards a home purchase in 2012.
While prices decreased by 2.6 percent year-over-over in the fourth quarter of 2011, they also increased by 9.9 percent compared to third quarter prices. The median sales prices for homes in the Boston metro area for the fourth quarter of 2011 was $560,260. The largest price increases during this quarter were seen in four-bedroom homes, which increased in price by an astounding 92.2 percent year-over-year. The average price for a two-bedroom home also increased and by a more-than-healthy 24.7 percent. One-bedroom homes lagged behind; prices “only” increased by 5.7 percent. Three-bedroom units were the one holdover; prices on these homes fell by 9.9 percent year-over-year in the fourth quarter.
Prices are continuing their increase in the New Year. Thus far, prices have risen by 1.1 percent since the last week in December. They have also increased by 2.0 percent when compared to the same week in 2011. All of these signs point to a steadily strengthening real estate market in the Boston area during the winter of 2012. Given some positive trends towards the end of 2011, hopefully the Boston real estate market is primed for a full year of good trends in 2012.














